County 21968, KY · Census Tract 21968200688 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.08M
Downside (P10)
$961K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.45M
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.05M
+89% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +89%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 21968 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.5M |
| YoY Change | +9.9% | +4.5% | +3.1% | +13.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $960K | $927K | $933K | $961K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.8M | $2.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$968K to $1.23M
23.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$961K to $2.05M
75.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200141 | $1.07M | $1.39M | +30.7% |
| Tract 201483 | $1.06M | $1.46M | +37.5% |
| Tract 201386 | $1.06M | $1.51M | +43.0% |
| Tract 201302 | $1.06M | $1.46M | +38.4% |
| Tract 201001 | $1.05M | $1.43M | +36.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 100128 | $1.23M | $1.79M | +45.5% |
| Tract 201386 | $1.06M | $1.51M | +43.0% |
| Tract 201263 | $995K | $1.39M | +40.0% |
| Tract 200468 | $1.01M | $1.41M | +39.9% |
| Tract 200882 | $1.05M | $1.45M | +38.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200785 | $1.00M | $1.27M | $782K |
| Tract 200989 | $994K | $1.32M | $794K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources