County 21820, KY · Census Tract 21820001420 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$317K
Downside (P10)
$299K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$459K
+45% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$706K
+123% by 2030
Base case: +45% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +123%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 21820 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $317K | $374K | $388K | $418K | $459K |
| YoY Change | +17.7% | +3.9% | +7.5% | +9.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $289K | $281K | $274K | $299K | |
| Upside (P90) | $488K | $565K | $605K | $706K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$268K to $384K
36.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$299K to $706K
88.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000324 | $317K | $447K | +41.0% |
| Tract 002209 | $318K | $451K | +41.8% |
| Tract 001682 | $319K | $471K | +47.5% |
| Tract 000285 | $315K | $436K | +38.3% |
| Tract 001925 | $320K | $474K | +47.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002225 | $324K | $487K | +50.3% |
| Tract 000764 | $327K | $491K | +50.3% |
| Tract 001925 | $320K | $474K | +47.9% |
| Tract 001682 | $319K | $471K | +47.5% |
| Tract 002128 | $329K | $472K | +43.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001022 | $314K | $444K | $322K |
| Tract 000528 | $303K | $426K | $326K |
| Tract 001844 | $325K | $441K | $337K |
| Tract 000667 | $330K | $452K | $337K |
| Tract 001763 | $327K | $434K | $345K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources