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Hopkins, KY · ZIP 42442 · Census Tract 21107971300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$107K
Downside (P10)
$96K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$112K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$146K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $74K | $77K | $79K | $90K | $94K | $89K | $89K | $99K | $98K | $105K | $107K | $108K | $116K | $112K | $110K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$33,006 | -$30,406 | -$28,406 | -$16,906 | -$13,206 | -$17,806 | -$18,406 | -$8,306 | -$8,906 | -$2,006 | +$1,221 | +$8,605 | +$4,780 | +$2,917 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -30.8% | -28.4% | -26.5% | -15.8% | -12.3% | -16.6% | -17.2% | -7.8% | -8.3% | -1.9% | +1.1% | +8.0% | +4.5% | +2.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $97K | $98K | $96K | $97K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $136K | $142K | $146K | $123K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$97K to $136K
35.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$97K to $123K
23.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nortonville | $108K | $112K | +3.2% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970900) | $92K | $103K | +11.3% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970400) | $119K | $129K | +8.9% | |
| Dawson Springs | $110K | $119K | +8.0% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970600) | $89K | $93K | +4.6% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970800) | $132K | $135K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nortonville | $108K | $112K | +3.2% | |
| Nebo | $172K | $194K | +12.8% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970500) | $154K | $172K | +11.4% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970900) | $92K | $103K | +11.3% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970400) | $119K | $129K | +8.9% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970301) | $173K | $187K | +8.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nortonville | $108K | $112K | $50K | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970301) | $173K | $187K | $78K | |
| Dawson Springs (Tract 971000) | $110K | $119K | $69K | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970600) | $89K | $93K | $64K | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970900) | $92K | $103K | $57K | |
| Dawson Springs (Tract 971100) | $69K | $74K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hopkins, KY · ZIP 42442 · Census Tract 21107971300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$107K
Downside (P10)
$96K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$112K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$146K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $74K | $77K | $79K | $90K | $94K | $89K | $89K | $99K | $98K | $105K | $107K | $108K | $116K | $112K | $110K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$33,006 | -$30,406 | -$28,406 | -$16,906 | -$13,206 | -$17,806 | -$18,406 | -$8,306 | -$8,906 | -$2,006 | +$1,221 | +$8,605 | +$4,780 | +$2,917 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -30.8% | -28.4% | -26.5% | -15.8% | -12.3% | -16.6% | -17.2% | -7.8% | -8.3% | -1.9% | +1.1% | +8.0% | +4.5% | +2.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $97K | $98K | $96K | $97K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $136K | $142K | $146K | $123K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$97K to $136K
35.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$97K to $123K
23.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nortonville | $108K | $112K | +3.2% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970900) | $92K | $103K | +11.3% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970400) | $119K | $129K | +8.9% | |
| Dawson Springs | $110K | $119K | +8.0% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970600) | $89K | $93K | +4.6% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970800) | $132K | $135K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nortonville | $108K | $112K | +3.2% | |
| Nebo | $172K | $194K | +12.8% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970500) | $154K | $172K | +11.4% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970900) | $92K | $103K | +11.3% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970400) | $119K | $129K | +8.9% | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970301) | $173K | $187K | +8.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nortonville | $108K | $112K | $50K | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970301) | $173K | $187K | $78K | |
| Dawson Springs (Tract 971000) | $110K | $119K | $69K | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970600) | $89K | $93K | $64K | |
| Madisonville (Tract 970900) | $92K | $103K | $57K | |
| Dawson Springs (Tract 971100) | $69K | $74K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
