What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21111009401 in Louisville East?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $293,216 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21111009401 in Louisville East?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $293,216 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.8%.

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Parcel 21111009401 (Louisville East) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 21111009401, Louisville East Home Price Forecast

Jefferson, KY · ZIP 40213 · Census Tract 21111009401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$293K

Downside (P10)

$231K

-21% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$325K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$399K

+36% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$206K	$228K	$267K	$290K	$294K	$293K	$306K	$322K	$325K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$86,816	-$65,716	-$26,716	-$3,216	+$384		+$12,499	+$28,310	+$31,724
Growth % vs 2026	-29.6%	-22.4%	-9.1%	-1.1%	+0.1%		+4.3%	+9.7%	+10.8%
Downside (P10)							$228K	$218K	$231K
Upside (P90)							$351K	$372K	$399K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$228K to $351K

40.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$231K to $399K

51.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.8% · Spread: 52%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 21111009401, Louisville East on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).