McCreary, KY · ZIP 42653 · Census Tract 21147960301 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$121K
Downside (P10)
$91K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$127K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$181K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +49%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar McCreary markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $73K | $77K | $102K | $110K | $118K | $121K | $117K | $123K | $127K |
| YoY Change | +5.3% | +32.3% | +7.2% | +7.7% | +2.9% | -3.8% | +4.9% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $97K | $95K | $91K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $152K | $174K | $181K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$97K to $152K
47.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$91K to $181K
71.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stearns-Whitley City | $119K | $127K | +6.5% | |
| Pine Knot | $91K | $94K | +3.5% | |
| Pine Knot | $77K | $77K | +0.6% | |
| Parkers Lake | $72K | $78K | +8.4% | |
| Co-operative | $67K | $69K | +3.9% | |
| Stearns-Whitley City | $62K | $65K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stearns-Whitley City | $119K | $127K | +6.5% | |
| Parkers Lake | $72K | $78K | +8.4% | |
| Stearns-Whitley City | $62K | $65K | +5.6% | |
| Co-operative | $67K | $69K | +3.9% | |
| Pine Knot | $91K | $94K | +3.5% | |
| Pine Knot | $77K | $77K | +0.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stearns-Whitley City | $119K | $127K | $91K | |
| Stearns-Whitley City | $62K | $65K | $32K | |
| Co-operative | $67K | $69K | $38K | |
| Parkers Lake | $72K | $78K | $41K | |
| Pine Knot | $77K | $77K | $44K | |
| Pine Knot | $91K | $94K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.