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Montgomery, KY · ZIP 40353 · Census Tract 21173920302 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$167K
Downside (P10)
$140K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$184K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$255K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $136K | $133K | $135K | $140K | $131K | $131K | $142K | $130K | $144K | $163K | $167K | $175K | $182K | $184K |
| YoY Change | -2.8% | +1.6% | +3.9% | -6.3% | -0.2% | +8.6% | -8.4% | +10.5% | +13.3% | +2.7% | +4.5% | +3.8% | +1.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $150K | $146K | $140K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $210K | $232K | $255K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$150K to $210K
34.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$140K to $255K
62.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Sterling · 40353 · (Tract 9203.2) | $163K | $184K | +13.1% | |
| Mount Sterling (Tract 920202) | $168K | $189K | +12.5% | |
| Jeffersonville (Tract 920400) | $160K | $172K | +7.6% | |
| Jeffersonville (Tract 920500) | $154K | $161K | +4.9% | |
| Mount Sterling (Tract 920201) | $182K | $195K | +6.8% | |
| Mount Sterling (Tract 920301) | $196K | $214K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Sterling · 40353 · (Tract 9203.2) | $163K | $184K | +13.1% | |
| Mount Sterling (Tract 920202) | $168K | $189K | +12.5% | |
| Mount Sterling (Tract 920301) | $196K | $214K | +8.9% | |
| Jeffersonville | $160K | $172K | +7.6% | |
| Mount Sterling (Tract 920201) | $182K | $195K | +6.8% | |
| Mount Sterling (Tract 920100) | $226K | $239K | +6.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Sterling · 40353 · (Tract 9203.2) | $163K | $184K | $116K | |
| Jeffersonville (Tract 920500) | $154K | $161K | $81K | |
| Jeffersonville (Tract 920400) | $160K | $172K | $97K | |
| Mount Sterling (Tract 920201) | $182K | $195K | $103K | |
| Mount Sterling (Tract 920202) | $168K | $189K | $106K | |
| Mount Sterling (Tract 920100) | $226K | $239K | $136K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.