What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21211040503 in Simpsonville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $303,108 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21211040503 in Simpsonville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $303,108 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.8%.

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Parcel 21211040503 (Simpsonville) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 21211040503, Simpsonville Home Price Forecast

Shelby, KY · ZIP 40067 · Census Tract 21211040503 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$303K

Downside (P10)

$257K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$327K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$437K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$200K	$202K	$256K	$264K	$290K	$303K	$311K	$318K	$327K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$102,808	-$101,108	-$47,408	-$39,508	-$13,508		+$7,450	+$15,241	+$23,516
Growth % vs 2026	-33.9%	-33.4%	-15.6%	-13.0%	-4.5%		+2.5%	+5.0%	+7.8%
Downside (P10)							$260K	$263K	$257K
Upside (P90)							$365K	$389K	$437K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$260K to $365K

33.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$257K to $437K

55.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.8% · Spread: 55%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 21211040503, Simpsonville on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).