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Whitley, KY · ZIP 40701 · Census Tract 21235920100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$147K
Downside (P10)
$128K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$162K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$220K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $77K | $84K | $87K | $101K | $103K | $108K | $119K | $141K | $147K | $141K | $147K | $153K | $157K | $162K |
| YoY Change | +8.2% | +4.4% | +15.6% | +2.2% | +4.6% | +10.1% | +18.6% | +4.3% | -4.1% | +4.6% | +4.1% | +2.5% | +2.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $134K | $136K | $128K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $174K | $194K | $220K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$134K to $174K
26.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$128K to $220K
57.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin | $145K | $162K | +11.4% | |
| Cumberland Falls (Tract 920401) | $149K | $161K | +8.1% | |
| Corbin | $142K | $142K | -0.0% | |
| Williamsburg (Tract 920602) | $165K | $177K | +7.6% | |
| Cumberland Falls (Tract 920402) | $165K | $184K | +11.0% | |
| Williamsburg (Tract 920501) | $126K | $143K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin | $145K | $162K | +11.4% | |
| Williamsburg (Tract 920501) | $126K | $143K | +13.5% | |
| Corbin | $220K | $249K | +13.4% | |
| Cumberland Falls | $165K | $184K | +11.0% | |
| Siler | $52K | $57K | +9.4% | |
| Williamsburg (Tract 920502) | $95K | $103K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin | $145K | $162K | $93K | |
| Siler | $52K | $57K | $27K | |
| Williamsburg (Tract 920502) | $95K | $103K | $64K | |
| Saxton | $108K | $114K | $65K | |
| Williamsburg (Tract 920601) | $113K | $118K | $67K | |
| Williamsburg (Tract 920501) | $126K | $143K | $79K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.