County 22150, LA · Census Tract 22150003184 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$837K
Downside (P10)
$851K
+2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.11M
+33% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.51M
+81% by 2030
Base case: +33% by 2030, with a forecast range from +2% to +81%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 22150 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $837K | $961K | $986K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +14.9% | +2.6% | +5.1% | +7.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $814K | $800K | $828K | $851K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$772K to $974K
24.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$851K to $1.51M
59.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002761 | $844K | $1.13M | +34.4% |
| Tract 002800 | $828K | $1.07M | +29.6% |
| Tract 002143 | $855K | $1.20M | +40.5% |
| Tract 003320 | $814K | $1.25M | +53.1% |
| Tract 002509 | $859K | $1.09M | +26.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001047 | $672K | $1.13M | +68.6% |
| Tract 002282 | $942K | $1.56M | +65.7% |
| Tract 001649 | $796K | $1.31M | +65.1% |
| Tract 002981 | $752K | $1.24M | +64.3% |
| Tract 000860 | $722K | $1.17M | +61.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001429 | $660K | $907K | $561K |
| Tract 000789 | $712K | $1.03M | $588K |
| Tract 003029 | $741K | $1.03M | $593K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources