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County 22185, LA · Census Tract 22185000767 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$271K
Downside (P10)
$236K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$379K
+40% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$571K
+111% by 2030
Base case: +40% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +111%. The model forecasts this with 51% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $271K | $306K | $322K | $342K | $379K |
| YoY Change | +13.1% | +5.1% | +6.3% | +10.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $240K | $236K | $230K | $236K | |
| Upside (P90) | $404K | $449K | $487K | $571K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$240K to $404K
53.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$236K to $571K
88.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000767 | $271K | $379K | +40.1% | |
| Tract 002286 | $271K | $380K | +40.5% | |
| Tract 002341 | $270K | $379K | +40.2% | |
| Tract 002202 | $272K | $381K | +40.1% | |
| Tract 002820 | $269K | $365K | +35.8% | |
| Tract 002040 | $269K | $360K | +34.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000767 | $271K | $379K | +40.1% | |
| Tract 000547 | $277K | $405K | +46.5% | |
| Tract 000589 | $277K | $404K | +45.8% | |
| Tract 002765 | $259K | $375K | +44.7% | |
| Tract 000107 | $297K | $424K | +42.9% | |
| Tract 000327 | $281K | $401K | +42.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000767 | $271K | $379K | $336K | |
| Tract 002765 | $259K | $375K | $283K | |
| Tract 000822 | $273K | $365K | $280K | |
| Tract 002228 | $268K | $351K | $264K | |
| Tract 002820 | $269K | $365K | $262K | |
| Tract 002325 | $263K | $364K | $261K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources