Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 22296, LA · Census Tract 22296000766 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$2.72M
Downside (P10)
$1.93M
-29% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.19M
-19% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.45M
-10% by 2030
Base case: -19% by 2030, with a forecast range from -29% to -10%. The model forecasts this with 87% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.7M | $2.8M | $2.5M | $2.2M | $2.2M |
| YoY Change | +4.5% | -12.3% | -12.7% | +0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.6M | $2.2M | $1.9M | $1.9M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.0M | $2.7M | $2.4M | $2.4M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$2.57M to $3.05M
16.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.93M to $2.45M
23.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000766 | $2.72M | $2.19M | -19.5% | |
| Tract 001202 | $2.61M | $2.55M | -2.2% | |
| Tract 000708 | $2.62M | $2.13M | -18.5% | |
| Tract 000643 | $2.63M | $2.14M | -18.6% | |
| Tract 000481 | $2.84M | $2.27M | -19.8% | |
| Tract 000740 | $2.72M | $2.14M | -21.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000766 | $2.72M | $2.19M | -19.5% | |
| Tract 001985 | $202K | $292K | +44.6% | |
| Tract 001707 | $171K | $244K | +42.6% | |
| Tract 001545 | $172K | $244K | +42.1% | |
| Tract 001901 | $201K | $285K | +42.1% | |
| Tract 001846 | $208K | $295K | +41.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000766 | $2.72M | $2.19M | $516K | |
| Tract 001846 | $208K | $295K | $279K | |
| Tract 001707 | $171K | $244K | $271K | |
| Tract 001545 | $172K | $244K | $269K | |
| Tract 001901 | $201K | $285K | $260K | |
| Tract 001561 | $183K | $246K | $246K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources