County 22350, LA · Census Tract 22350004365 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$531K
Downside (P10)
$325K
-39% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$591K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.02M
+91% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -39% to +91%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22350 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $531K | $567K | $561K | $547K | $591K |
| YoY Change | +6.7% | -1.1% | -2.4% | +7.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $384K | $332K | $311K | $325K | |
| Upside (P90) | $795K | $886K | $932K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$453K to $668K
40.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$325K to $1.02M
117.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003120 | $524K | $587K | +12.0% |
| Tract 002927 | $520K | $594K | +14.4% |
| Tract 004268 | $511K | $596K | +16.6% |
| Tract 003560 | $506K | $557K | +10.1% |
| Tract 004323 | $503K | $536K | +6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002749 | $176K | $280K | +59.1% |
| Tract 003845 | $206K | $325K | +57.4% |
| Tract 002600 | $166K | $257K | +55.0% |
| Tract 002723 | $173K | $263K | +51.6% |
| Tract 004349 | $262K | $387K | +47.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004200 | $176K | $258K | $207K |
| Tract 002600 | $166K | $257K | $211K |
| Tract 002723 | $173K | $263K | $234K |
| Tract 002749 | $176K | $280K | $262K |
| Tract 002820 | $213K | $308K | $300K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources