County 22430, LA · Census Tract 22430011621 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$412K
Downside (P10)
$335K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$617K
+50% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.03M
+149% by 2030
Base case: +50% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +149%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22430 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $412K | $475K | $482K | $503K | $617K |
| YoY Change | +15.3% | +1.5% | +4.3% | +22.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $365K | $330K | $320K | $335K | |
| Upside (P90) | $603K | $645K | $736K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$355K to $488K
32.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$335K to $1.03M
112.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 016040 | $411K | $602K | +46.3% |
| Tract 011663 | $416K | $562K | +35.2% |
| Tract 011443 | $408K | $610K | +49.3% |
| Tract 019306 | $417K | $590K | +41.7% |
| Tract 011566 | $417K | $561K | +34.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 015245 | $296K | $635K | +114.9% |
| Tract 015083 | $324K | $694K | +114.0% |
| Tract 015122 | $292K | $580K | +98.2% |
| Tract 016422 | $348K | $672K | +93.1% |
| Tract 015300 | $359K | $681K | +89.8% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources