County 22430, LA · Census Tract 22430016008 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$349K
Downside (P10)
$307K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$536K
+53% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$860K
+146% by 2030
Base case: +53% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +146%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22430 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $349K | $413K | $432K | $450K | $536K |
| YoY Change | +18.2% | +4.7% | +4.1% | +19.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $312K | $284K | $272K | $307K | |
| Upside (P90) | $532K | $609K | $651K | $860K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$307K to $425K
34.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$307K to $860K
103.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 018006 | $349K | $473K | +35.5% |
| Tract 016422 | $348K | $672K | +93.1% |
| Tract 011126 | $348K | $446K | +28.1% |
| Tract 019827 | $351K | $451K | +28.5% |
| Tract 012345 | $352K | $499K | +41.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 015245 | $296K | $635K | +114.9% |
| Tract 015083 | $324K | $694K | +114.0% |
| Tract 015122 | $292K | $580K | +98.2% |
| Tract 016422 | $348K | $672K | +93.1% |
| Tract 015300 | $359K | $681K | +89.8% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources