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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 22452, LA · Census Tract 22452001185 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$604K
Downside (P10)
$458K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$820K
+36% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.73M
+187% by 2030
Base case: +36% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +187%. The model forecasts this with 15% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $604K | $746K | $766K | $740K | $820K |
| YoY Change | +23.4% | +2.7% | -3.5% | +10.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $521K | $482K | $435K | $458K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.7M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$521K to $1.39M
116.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$458K to $1.73M
155.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001185 | $604K | $820K | +35.6% | |
| Tract 001266 | $602K | $951K | +57.9% | |
| Tract 000869 | $603K | $932K | +54.6% | |
| Tract 000720 | $594K | $911K | +53.3% | |
| Tract 000649 | $612K | $897K | +46.6% | |
| Tract 000487 | $604K | $884K | +46.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001185 | $604K | $820K | +35.6% | |
| Tract 000225 | $530K | $893K | +68.6% | |
| Tract 001428 | $588K | $975K | +65.9% | |
| Tract 000241 | $500K | $811K | +62.3% | |
| Tract 001525 | $531K | $848K | +59.6% | |
| Tract 000908 | $573K | $914K | +59.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001185 | $604K | $820K | $1.28M | |
| Tract 000500 | $562K | $698K | $737K | |
| Tract 000982 | $509K | $578K | $698K | |
| Tract 001680 | $479K | $469K | $593K | |
| Tract 000380 | $448K | $540K | $358K | |
| Tract 000267 | $416K | $508K | $292K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources