County 22460, LA · Census Tract 22460000806 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$688K
Downside (P10)
$421K
-39% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$758K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.34M
+94% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -39% to +94%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22460 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $688K | $728K | $721K | $698K | $758K |
| YoY Change | +5.7% | -0.9% | -3.2% | +8.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $493K | $424K | $401K | $421K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$553K to $895K
49.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$421K to $1.34M
121.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000220 | $684K | $702K | +2.5% |
| Tract 000123 | $684K | $652K | -4.7% |
| Tract 000343 | $680K | $713K | +4.8% |
| Tract 000262 | $699K | $684K | -2.2% |
| Tract 000686 | $675K | $696K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000660 | $707K | $800K | +13.2% |
| Tract 000521 | $668K | $710K | +6.4% |
| Tract 000741 | $724K | $760K | +4.9% |
| Tract 000343 | $680K | $713K | +4.8% |
| Tract 000424 | $702K | $728K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000068 | $714K | $713K | $708K |
| Tract 000220 | $684K | $702K | $728K |
| Tract 000424 | $702K | $728K | $741K |
| Tract 000262 | $699K | $684K | $787K |
| Tract 000301 | $715K | $716K | $800K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources