County 22510, LA · Census Tract 22510009304 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.25M
Downside (P10)
$2.36M
-44% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.68M
-37% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.92M
-31% by 2030
Base case: -37% by 2030, with a forecast range from -44% to -31%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 22510 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.2M | $4.1M | $3.5M | $2.9M | $2.7M |
| YoY Change | -2.4% | -15.1% | -18.5% | -6.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.8M | $3.1M | $2.5M | $2.4M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.5M | $3.8M | $3.1M | $2.9M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.95M to $4.48M
12.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$2.36M to $2.92M
21.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 008703 | $4.42M | $2.85M | -35.5% |
| Tract 005609 | $4.03M | $2.58M | -36.1% |
| Tract 008758 | $3.97M | $2.43M | -38.9% |
| Tract 009155 | $3.91M | $2.58M | -34.0% |
| Tract 008253 | $3.56M | $2.43M | -31.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 007254 | $3.26M | $3.14M | -3.6% |
| Tract 011855 | $1.44M | $1.34M | -6.7% |
| Tract 011907 | $1.58M | $1.41M | -11.2% |
| Tract 004354 | $1.41M | $1.25M | -11.6% |
| Tract 300388 | $2.24M | $1.98M | -11.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 008606 | $3.18M | $2.52M | $538K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources