County 22510, LA · Census Tract 22510010953 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.28M
Downside (P10)
$419K
-67% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$930K
-27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.77M
+39% by 2030
Base case: -27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -67% to +39%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22510 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.1M | $944K | $930K |
| YoY Change | -2.1% | -14.0% | -12.4% | -1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $657K | $507K | $419K | $419K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$900K to $1.60M
54.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$419K to $1.77M
145.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 012456 | $1.31M | $945K | -27.7% |
| Tract 011101 | $1.24M | $911K | -26.5% |
| Tract 010759 | $1.32M | $1.06M | -20.0% |
| Tract 010801 | $1.33M | $1.01M | -24.0% |
| Tract 011703 | $1.36M | $979K | -27.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 007254 | $3.26M | $3.14M | -3.6% |
| Tract 011855 | $1.44M | $1.34M | -6.7% |
| Tract 011907 | $1.58M | $1.41M | -11.2% |
| Tract 004354 | $1.41M | $1.25M | -11.6% |
| Tract 300388 | $2.24M | $1.98M | -11.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 008606 | $3.18M | $2.52M | $538K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources