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County 22212, LA · Census Tract 22212720004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$352K
Downside (P10)
$299K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$462K
+31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$696K
+98% by 2030
Base case: +31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +98%. The model forecasts this with 53% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $352K | $397K | $419K | $429K | $462K |
| YoY Change | +12.8% | +5.5% | +2.4% | +7.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $303K | $297K | $290K | $299K | |
| Upside (P90) | $547K | $572K | $611K | $696K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$303K to $547K
61.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$299K to $696K
86.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720004 | $352K | $462K | +31.3% | |
| Tract 600001 | $349K | $475K | +36.2% | |
| Tract 800005 | $356K | $475K | +33.5% | |
| Tract 000009 | $377K | $476K | +26.1% | |
| Tract 640003 | $376K | $466K | +23.8% | |
| Tract 160004 | $420K | $513K | +22.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720004 | $352K | $462K | +31.3% | |
| Tract 600001 | $349K | $475K | +36.2% | |
| Tract 800005 | $356K | $475K | +33.5% | |
| Tract 280007 | $423K | $546K | +29.2% | |
| Tract 000009 | $377K | $476K | +26.1% | |
| Tract 640003 | $376K | $466K | +23.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720004 | $352K | $462K | $397K | |
| Tract 160004 | $420K | $513K | $461K | |
| Tract 640003 | $376K | $466K | $401K | |
| Tract 600001 | $349K | $475K | $398K | |
| Tract 800005 | $356K | $475K | $394K | |
| Tract 000009 | $377K | $476K | $393K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources