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New Orleans, LA · ZIP 70130 · Census Tract 22071008800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$517K
Downside (P10)
$448K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$582K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$710K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $266K | $260K | $307K | $341K | $363K | $398K | $422K | $434K | $466K | $496K | $517K | $550K | $564K | $582K | $517K |
| YoY Change | -2.2% | +18.1% | +11.0% | +6.7% | +9.5% | +6.1% | +2.8% | +7.3% | +6.5% | +4.3% | +6.4% | +2.5% | +3.1% | -11.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $449K | $438K | $448K | $450K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $618K | $641K | $710K | $579K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$449K to $618K
30.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$450K to $579K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | $496K | $582K | +17.2% | |
| New Orleans (Tract 007607) | $511K | $564K | +10.4% | |
| New Orleans (Tract 005603) | $539K | $590K | +9.4% | |
| New Orleans (Tract 008200) | $505K | $547K | +8.4% | |
| New Orleans (Tract 012500) | $512K | $552K | +7.9% | |
| New Orleans (Tract 013302) | $514K | $543K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | $496K | $582K | +17.2% | |
| New Orleans (Tract 011900) | $664K | $789K | +18.7% | |
| New Orleans (Tract 009000) | $720K | $834K | +15.8% | |
| New Orleans (Tract 013800) | $316K | $366K | +15.6% | |
| New Orleans (Tract 004600) | $596K | $686K | +15.1% | |
| New Orleans (Tract 010200) | $428K | $492K | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | $496K | $582K | $262K | |
| New Orleans (Tract 000605) | $133K | $144K | $79K | |
| New Orleans (Tract 001757) | $154K | $163K | $79K | |
| New Orleans (Tract 000602) | $142K | $148K | $79K | |
| New Orleans (Tract 000902) | $96K | $108K | $76K | |
| New Orleans (Tract 000901) | $122K | $127K | $73K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.