County 22683, LA · Census Tract 22683003583 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$447K
Downside (P10)
$430K
-4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$611K
+37% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$878K
+96% by 2030
Base case: +37% by 2030, with a forecast range from -4% to +96%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22683 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $447K | $540K | $553K | $552K | $611K |
| YoY Change | +20.8% | +2.5% | -0.2% | +10.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $453K | $422K | $402K | $430K | |
| Upside (P90) | $686K | $726K | $756K | $878K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$413K to $514K
22.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$430K to $878K
73.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000405 | $449K | $745K | +66.0% |
| Tract 003868 | $450K | $639K | +41.8% |
| Tract 001103 | $451K | $633K | +40.3% |
| Tract 004728 | $453K | $605K | +33.4% |
| Tract 000748 | $455K | $595K | +30.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003363 | $475K | $801K | +68.4% |
| Tract 004508 | $582K | $979K | +68.2% |
| Tract 000405 | $449K | $745K | +66.0% |
| Tract 003282 | $382K | $592K | +54.9% |
| Tract 001187 | $403K | $618K | +53.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources