County 22700, LA · Census Tract 22700052080 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.10M
Downside (P10)
$842K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.05M
-5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.25M
+13% by 2030
Base case: -5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +13%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 22700 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $994K | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +4.7% | -8.0% | -6.6% | +5.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.0M | $905K | $830K | $842K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.00M to $1.20M
18.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$842K to $1.25M
39.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 052307 | $1.09M | $1.05M | -3.3% |
| Tract 051560 | $874K | $914K | +4.6% |
| Tract 052145 | $839K | $873K | +4.1% |
| Tract 052585 | $833K | $836K | +0.3% |
| Tract 052747 | $825K | $888K | +7.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 051667 | $767K | $908K | +18.3% |
| Tract 051544 | $753K | $874K | +16.1% |
| Tract 052705 | $766K | $888K | +15.9% |
| Tract 052569 | $684K | $790K | +15.6% |
| Tract 052501 | $759K | $857K | +13.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 052307 | $1.09M | $1.05M | $401K |
| Tract 051560 | $874K | $914K | $419K |
| Tract 052705 | $766K | $888K | $447K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources