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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 22730, LA · Census Tract 22730001548 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.50M
Downside (P10)
$735K
-51% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.16M
-23% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.77M
+18% by 2030
Base case: -23% by 2030, with a forecast range from -51% to +18%. The model forecasts this with 51% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | -2.0% | -12.1% | -9.7% | -0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $958K | $789K | $732K | $735K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.9M | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$958K to $1.91M
64.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$735K to $1.77M
89.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001548 | $1.50M | $1.16M | -22.6% | |
| Tract 000581 | $1.40M | $1.27M | -9.2% | |
| Tract 001687 | $1.44M | $1.30M | -9.5% | |
| Tract 001726 | $1.44M | $1.20M | -16.7% | |
| Tract 001001 | $1.40M | $1.07M | -23.7% | |
| Tract 001221 | $1.39M | $1.04M | -25.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001548 | $1.50M | $1.16M | -22.6% | |
| Tract 000183 | $1.29M | $1.41M | +9.3% | |
| Tract 000840 | $1.37M | $1.31M | -4.1% | |
| Tract 001904 | $1.63M | $1.50M | -7.8% | |
| Tract 000581 | $1.40M | $1.27M | -9.2% | |
| Tract 001687 | $1.44M | $1.30M | -9.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001548 | $1.50M | $1.16M | $1.04M | |
| Tract 001904 | $1.63M | $1.50M | $649K | |
| Tract 001881 | $1.83M | $1.59M | $587K | |
| Tract 001784 | $1.81M | $1.62M | $534K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources