County 22740, LA · Census Tract 22740003468 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$518K
Downside (P10)
$332K
-36% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$622K
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.10M
+113% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -36% to +113%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22740 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $518K | $566K | $571K | $569K | $622K |
| YoY Change | +9.1% | +1.0% | -0.3% | +9.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $379K | $342K | $320K | $332K | |
| Upside (P90) | $820K | $872K | $937K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$421K to $650K
44.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$332K to $1.10M
124.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000128 | $518K | $615K | +18.8% |
| Tract 002582 | $518K | $582K | +12.3% |
| Tract 003743 | $518K | $596K | +15.1% |
| Tract 004108 | $516K | $624K | +20.9% |
| Tract 003044 | $521K | $599K | +15.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000144 | $514K | $638K | +24.1% |
| Tract 003387 | $539K | $660K | +22.3% |
| Tract 002566 | $507K | $617K | +21.7% |
| Tract 004108 | $516K | $624K | +20.9% |
| Tract 003167 | $502K | $600K | +19.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002582 | $518K | $582K | $564K |
| Tract 002883 | $514K | $589K | $569K |
| Tract 003002 | $525K | $617K | $572K |
| Tract 003646 | $532K | $531K | $579K |
| Tract 003028 | $501K | $583K | $582K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources