County 22683, LA · Census Tract 22683004728 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$453K
Downside (P10)
$386K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$605K
+33% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.01M
+124% by 2030
Base case: +33% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +124%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22683 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $453K | $512K | $518K | $540K | $605K |
| YoY Change | +13.0% | +1.1% | +4.1% | +12.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $400K | $381K | $381K | $386K | |
| Upside (P90) | $671K | $738K | $865K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$381K to $566K
40.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$386K to $1.01M
103.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000748 | $455K | $595K | +30.7% |
| Tract 001103 | $451K | $633K | +40.3% |
| Tract 003868 | $450K | $639K | +41.8% |
| Tract 000405 | $449K | $745K | +66.0% |
| Tract 003583 | $447K | $611K | +36.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003363 | $475K | $801K | +68.4% |
| Tract 004508 | $582K | $979K | +68.2% |
| Tract 000405 | $449K | $745K | +66.0% |
| Tract 003282 | $382K | $592K | +54.9% |
| Tract 001187 | $403K | $618K | +53.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources