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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 22712, LA · Census Tract 22712001087 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$2.07M
Downside (P10)
$856K
-59% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.48M
-29% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.18M
+5% by 2030
Base case: -29% by 2030, with a forecast range from -59% to +5%. The model forecasts this with 51% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.1M | $2.0M | $1.7M | $1.5M | $1.5M |
| YoY Change | -4.3% | -11.9% | -13.2% | -2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.3M | $1.0M | $909K | $856K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.4M | $2.2M | $2.1M | $2.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$1.25M to $2.42M
58.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$856K to $2.18M
89.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001087 | $2.07M | $1.48M | -28.6% | |
| Tract 000525 | $1.96M | $1.42M | -27.4% | |
| Tract 001508 | $2.10M | $1.50M | -28.6% | |
| Tract 001362 | $2.12M | $1.47M | -30.7% | |
| Tract 000787 | $2.13M | $1.47M | -31.0% | |
| Tract 001540 | $2.00M | $1.37M | -31.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001087 | $2.07M | $1.48M | -28.6% | |
| Tract 000981 | $1.93M | $1.53M | -20.6% | |
| Tract 000664 | $1.70M | $1.24M | -27.1% | |
| Tract 000703 | $1.76M | $1.29M | -27.1% | |
| Tract 000525 | $1.96M | $1.42M | -27.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001087 | $2.07M | $1.48M | $1.33M | |
| Tract 000800 | $1.88M | $1.30M | $1.18M | |
| Tract 001061 | $2.40M | $1.67M | $1.15M | |
| Tract 000127 | $1.57M | $1.11M | $1.08M | |
| Tract 001508 | $2.10M | $1.50M | $1.04M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources