County 22945, LA · Census Tract 22945010243 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$592K
Downside (P10)
$279K
-53% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$597K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.03M
+74% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -53% to +74%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 22945 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $592K | $594K | $572K | $552K | $597K |
| YoY Change | +0.3% | -3.8% | -3.4% | +8.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $384K | $312K | $277K | $279K | |
| Upside (P90) | $857K | $906K | $886K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$463K to $762K
50.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$279K to $1.03M
125.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 011349 | $584K | $727K | +24.5% |
| Tract 012306 | $604K | $955K | +58.0% |
| Tract 012364 | $611K | $1.14M | +85.6% |
| Tract 010544 | $572K | $561K | -1.8% |
| Tract 011129 | $571K | $646K | +13.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 012364 | $611K | $1.14M | +85.6% |
| Tract 012241 | $655K | $1.07M | +63.3% |
| Tract 012306 | $604K | $955K | +58.0% |
| Tract 012403 | $633K | $991K | +56.4% |
| Tract 012542 | $701K | $1.08M | +54.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000101 | $344K | $432K | $369K |
| Tract 000509 | $346K | $438K | $399K |
| Tract 000787 | $386K | $447K | $399K |
| Tract 000826 | $336K | $464K | $413K |
| Tract 001045 | $345K | $456K | $423K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources