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St. John the Baptist, LA · ZIP 70068 · Census Tract 22095070100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$272K
Downside (P10)
$225K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$270K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$377K
+38% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $217K | $218K | $224K | $231K | $240K | $256K | $251K | $267K | $267K | $261K | $272K | $276K | $283K | $270K | $273K |
| YoY Change | +0.4% | +2.9% | +3.2% | +3.7% | +6.8% | -2.1% | +6.7% | -0.3% | -2.1% | +4.3% | +1.5% | +2.5% | -4.6% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $214K | $217K | $225K | $243K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $317K | $351K | $377K | $303K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$214K to $317K
37.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$243K to $303K
22.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 area | $267K | $270K | +1.3% | |
| 3 area | $188K | $204K | +8.4% | |
| 1 | $183K | $195K | +6.6% | |
| Laplace (Tract 070300) | $193K | $204K | +5.6% | |
| Laplace (Tract 070400) | $273K | $282K | +3.3% | |
| Laplace (Tract 070200) | $209K | $208K | -0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 area | $267K | $270K | $152K | |
| 2 (Tract 070700) | $149K | $167K | $98K | |
| 2 (Tract 070600) | $176K | $178K | $94K | |
| Laplace (Tract 070900) | $174K | $180K | $94K | |
| Reserve | $137K | $147K | $78K | |
| Laplace (Tract 071000) | $122K | $130K | $76K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.