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Bristol, MA · ZIP 02746 · Census Tract 25005651200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$333K
Downside (P10)
$284K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$379K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$592K
+78% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +78%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $157K | $152K | $163K | $177K | $199K | $230K | $242K | $285K | $293K | $317K | $333K | $330K | $359K | $379K |
| YoY Change | -3.3% | +7.3% | +8.8% | +12.2% | +15.5% | +5.1% | +17.9% | +2.8% | +8.3% | +5.2% | -1.1% | +8.8% | +5.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $290K | $286K | $284K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $440K | $510K | $592K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$290K to $440K
45.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$284K to $592K
81.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Bedford · 02746 · (Tract 6512) | $322K | $379K | +17.6% | |
| New Bedford (Tract 652400) | $330K | $381K | +15.5% | |
| Fall River (Tract 640201) | $334K | $375K | +12.2% | |
| New Bedford (Tract 651700) | $330K | $367K | +11.3% | |
| Fall River (Tract 640202) | $334K | $361K | +8.0% | |
| New Bedford (Tract 652300) | $336K | $348K | +3.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Bedford · 02746 · (Tract 6512) | $322K | $379K | +17.6% | |
| North Attleborough Town | $510K | $621K | +21.6% | |
| New Bedford | $413K | $486K | +17.6% | |
| Attleboro | $387K | $454K | +17.4% | |
| Freetown | $523K | $613K | +17.1% | |
| Fall River | $374K | $436K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Bedford · 02746 · (Tract 6512) | $322K | $379K | $308K | |
| New Bedford (Tract 651500) | $301K | $335K | $142K | |
| New Bedford (Tract 650600) | $299K | $311K | $138K | |
| North Attleborough Town | $348K | $380K | $138K | |
| Fall River | $240K | $278K | $136K | |
| New Bedford (Tract 652300) | $336K | $348K | $126K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.