County 25117, MA · Census Tract 25117500863 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$936K
Downside (P10)
$341K
-64% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$800K
-15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.50M
+60% by 2030
Base case: -15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -64% to +60%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25117 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $936K | $979K | $863K | $777K | $800K |
| YoY Change | +4.6% | -11.9% | -10.0% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $557K | $453K | $332K | $341K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$735K to $1.22M
51.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$341K to $1.50M
144.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 501480 | $936K | $806K | -13.9% |
| Tract 910725 | $932K | $902K | -3.2% |
| Tract 906548 | $927K | $1.18M | +27.2% |
| Tract 502227 | $927K | $814K | -12.2% |
| Tract 910220 | $944K | $1.11M | +17.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 601322 | $474K | $754K | +59.1% |
| Tract 601487 | $553K | $847K | +53.0% |
| Tract 701921 | $445K | $656K | +47.5% |
| Tract 906726 | $752K | $1.09M | +45.5% |
| Tract 531463 | $638K | $919K | +44.0% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources