What is the home price forecast for Tract 910440?

Homecastr forecasts Tract 910440 median home values at $899,354 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.2%.

How confident is the Tract 910440 forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $693,541 (downside) to $1,223,869 (upside), with a spread of 57% of median.

Tract 910440 Home Price Forecast

County 25117, MA · Census Tract 25117910440 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$899K

Downside (P10)

$694K

-23% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$928K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.22M

+36% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +36%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 25117 markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$899K	$908K	$856K	$885K	$928K
YoY Change		+1.0%	-5.8%	+3.4%	+4.9%
Downside (P10)		$769K	$689K	$676K	$694K
Upside (P90)		$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.2M

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.

1-Year Spread

$821K to $1.05M

25.7% of median

5-Year Spread

$694K to $1.22M

57.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.2% · Spread: 57%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 800628	$898K	$1.23M	+37.4%
Tract 502560	$903K	$791K	-12.4%
Tract 800783	$888K	$1.22M	+36.9%
Tract 907262	$888K	$1.23M	+38.9%
Tract 500724	$918K	$855K	-6.8%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 601322	$474K	$754K	+59.1%
Tract 601487	$553K	$847K	+53.0%
Tract 701921	$445K	$656K	+47.5%
Tract 906726	$752K	$1.09M	+45.5%
Tract 531463	$638K	$919K	+44.0%

Location

Tract 910440 on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).