County 25479, MA · Census Tract 25479001107 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.67M
Downside (P10)
$829K
-50% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.38M
-17% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.02M
+20% by 2030
Base case: -17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -50% to +20%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 25479 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.4M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | -1.6% | -9.8% | -7.2% | +0.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.2M | $1.0M | $895K | $829K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.0M | $2.0M | $1.9M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.37M to $1.94M
33.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$829K to $2.02M
85.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000962 | $1.18M | $805K | -31.9% |
| Tract 000988 | $1.14M | $833K | -27.2% |
| Tract 000564 | $1.06M | $768K | -27.8% |
| Tract 000166 | $933K | $711K | -23.7% |
| Tract 000784 | $909K | $778K | -14.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000289 | $785K | $702K | -10.6% |
| Tract 000784 | $909K | $778K | -14.4% |
| Tract 000085 | $846K | $661K | -21.9% |
| Tract 000166 | $933K | $711K | -23.7% |
| Tract 000988 | $1.14M | $833K | -27.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000289 | $785K | $702K | $895K |
| Tract 000166 | $933K | $711K | $956K |
| Tract 000988 | $1.14M | $833K | $981K |
| Tract 000564 | $1.06M | $768K | $1.01M |
| Tract 000085 | $846K | $661K | $1.04M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources