County 25568, MA · Census Tract 25568001623 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.62M
Downside (P10)
$1.12M
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.53M
-5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.12M
+31% by 2030
Base case: -5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +31%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 25568 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.5M |
| YoY Change | +4.4% | -7.9% | -1.5% | +0.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.1M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.0M | $1.9M | $2.0M | $2.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.44M to $1.80M
22.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.12M to $2.12M
65.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002541 | $1.63M | $1.60M | -1.4% |
| Tract 002444 | $1.63M | $1.57M | -3.2% |
| Tract 001568 | $1.63M | $1.50M | -8.1% |
| Tract 001021 | $1.60M | $1.53M | -4.3% |
| Tract 001869 | $1.60M | $1.53M | -4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 701567 | $660K | $961K | +45.5% |
| Tract 700429 | $601K | $857K | +42.5% |
| Tract 701884 | $642K | $911K | +41.8% |
| Tract 010342 | $486K | $686K | +41.3% |
| Tract 701606 | $564K | $790K | +40.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 010203 | $494K | $628K | $422K |
| Tract 010122 | $486K | $585K | $430K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources