County 25570, MA · Census Tract 25570001129 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$430K
Downside (P10)
$257K
-40% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$474K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$812K
+89% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -40% to +89%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 25570 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $430K | $455K | $452K | $448K | $474K |
| YoY Change | +5.7% | -0.6% | -0.9% | +5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $309K | $261K | $240K | $257K | |
| Upside (P90) | $598K | $662K | $737K | $812K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$363K to $512K
34.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$257K to $812K
117.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001543 | $430K | $543K | +26.1% |
| Tract 002144 | $430K | $499K | +16.0% |
| Tract 000586 | $430K | $597K | +39.0% |
| Tract 000968 | $431K | $515K | +19.5% |
| Tract 000641 | $431K | $529K | +22.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000586 | $430K | $597K | +39.0% |
| Tract 000308 | $400K | $545K | +36.0% |
| Tract 001462 | $432K | $581K | +34.4% |
| Tract 000780 | $408K | $546K | +33.8% |
| Tract 000706 | $396K | $527K | +33.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000706 | $396K | $527K | $387K |
| Tract 000900 | $436K | $547K | $425K |
| Tract 000146 | $412K | $517K | $439K |
| Tract 001161 | $395K | $479K | $443K |
| Tract 000764 | $400K | $499K | $451K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources