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County 25570, MA · Census Tract 25570002403 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$467K
Downside (P10)
$252K
-46% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$515K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$800K
+71% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -46% to +71%. The model forecasts this with 42% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $467K | $496K | $487K | $478K | $515K |
| YoY Change | +6.1% | -1.8% | -1.7% | +7.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $318K | $268K | $238K | $252K | |
| Upside (P90) | $674K | $722K | $747K | $800K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$318K to $674K
71.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$252K to $800K
106.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002403 | $467K | $515K | +10.3% | |
| Tract 000900 | $436K | $547K | +25.5% | |
| Tract 002487 | $463K | $573K | +23.8% | |
| Tract 002322 | $463K | $530K | +14.5% | |
| Tract 002102 | $462K | $500K | +8.2% | |
| Tract 002005 | $480K | $518K | +7.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002403 | $467K | $515K | +10.3% | |
| Tract 000586 | $430K | $597K | +39.0% | |
| Tract 000308 | $400K | $545K | +36.0% | |
| Tract 001462 | $432K | $581K | +34.4% | |
| Tract 000780 | $408K | $546K | +33.8% | |
| Tract 000706 | $396K | $527K | +33.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002403 | $467K | $515K | $547K | |
| Tract 000764 | $400K | $499K | $451K | |
| Tract 001161 | $395K | $479K | $443K | |
| Tract 000146 | $412K | $517K | $439K | |
| Tract 000900 | $436K | $547K | $425K | |
| Tract 000706 | $396K | $527K | $387K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources