County 25600, MA · Census Tract 25600100864 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$812K
Downside (P10)
$462K
-43% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.04M
+28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.60M
+220% by 2030
Base case: +28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -43% to +220%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25600 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $812K | $912K | $940K | $951K | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | +12.3% | +3.1% | +1.3% | +9.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $611K | $539K | $485K | $462K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.2M | $2.3M | $2.4M | $2.6M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$649K to $1.76M
136.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$462K to $2.60M
205.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 101562 | $807K | $1.09M | +35.5% |
| Tract 101481 | $817K | $1.14M | +39.1% |
| Tract 101025 | $778K | $1.06M | +36.8% |
| Tract 100709 | $733K | $531K | -27.5% |
| Tract 100301 | $728K | $546K | -25.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 102406 | $563K | $954K | +69.3% |
| Tract 102383 | $711K | $1.07M | +50.8% |
| Tract 100961 | $659K | $991K | +50.4% |
| Tract 102600 | $714K | $1.06M | +49.0% |
| Tract 101449 | $646K | $960K | +48.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 101083 | $703K | $762K | $493K |
| Tract 102406 | $563K | $954K | $683K |
| Tract 101782 | $601K | $504K | $728K |
| Tract 102545 | $710K | $1.04M | $742K |
| Tract 102163 | $608K | $499K | $760K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources