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County 25735, MA · Census Tract 25735001508 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$383K
Downside (P10)
$350K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$518K
+35% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$847K
+121% by 2030
Base case: +35% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +121%. The model forecasts this with 47% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $383K | $434K | $466K | $474K | $518K |
| YoY Change | +13.4% | +7.3% | +1.7% | +9.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $336K | $325K | $327K | $350K | |
| Upside (P90) | $634K | $679K | $760K | $847K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$336K to $634K
68.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$350K to $847K
95.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001508 | $383K | $518K | +35.4% | |
| Tract 000842 | $390K | $541K | +38.9% | |
| Tract 000402 | $383K | $509K | +32.9% | |
| Tract 000363 | $388K | $502K | +29.5% | |
| Tract 002167 | $381K | $480K | +25.8% | |
| Tract 000240 | $386K | $458K | +18.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001508 | $383K | $518K | +35.4% | |
| Tract 000842 | $390K | $541K | +38.9% | |
| Tract 000444 | $392K | $529K | +35.0% | |
| Tract 000402 | $383K | $509K | +32.9% | |
| Tract 000282 | $374K | $496K | +32.5% | |
| Tract 001401 | $391K | $515K | +31.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001508 | $383K | $518K | $497K | |
| Tract 001605 | $399K | $492K | $508K | |
| Tract 002109 | $369K | $475K | $500K | |
| Tract 001906 | $392K | $491K | $476K | |
| Tract 001304 | $393K | $477K | $464K | |
| Tract 000567 | $372K | $483K | $464K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources