County 25778, MA · Census Tract 25778010022 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.05M
Downside (P10)
$367K
-65% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$722K
-31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.30M
+24% by 2030
Base case: -31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -65% to +24%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25778 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.0M | $997K | $830K | $752K | $722K |
| YoY Change | -4.6% | -16.7% | -9.5% | -4.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $595K | $441K | $392K | $367K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$741K to $1.35M
58.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$367K to $1.30M
129.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 030507 | $1.03M | $816K | -21.0% |
| Tract 030442 | $1.03M | $778K | -24.7% |
| Tract 031221 | $1.07M | $1.47M | +36.3% |
| Tract 030086 | $1.08M | $775K | -28.5% |
| Tract 031166 | $1.09M | $1.47M | +34.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 031221 | $1.07M | $1.47M | +36.3% |
| Tract 031166 | $1.09M | $1.47M | +34.8% |
| Tract 031409 | $1.09M | $1.47M | +34.4% |
| Tract 030743 | $1.10M | $1.47M | +34.2% |
| Tract 031027 | $1.34M | $1.76M | +31.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 041363 | $1.41M | $1.19M | $437K |
| Tract 041169 | $1.33M | $1.26M | $629K |
| Tract 041583 | $1.39M | $1.31M | $645K |
| Tract 041648 | $1.41M | $1.33M | $714K |
| Tract 041622 | $1.40M | $1.49M | $766K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources