County 25892, MA · Census Tract 25892001166 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$554K
Downside (P10)
$272K
-51% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$531K
-4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$952K
+72% by 2030
Base case: -4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -51% to +72%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25892 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $554K | $556K | $551K | $505K | $531K |
| YoY Change | +0.4% | -0.9% | -8.3% | +5.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $367K | $295K | $267K | $272K | |
| Upside (P90) | $837K | $838K | $857K | $952K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$428K to $711K
51.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$272K to $952K
128.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000044 | $554K | $558K | +0.8% |
| Tract 000620 | $553K | $573K | +3.7% |
| Tract 000824 | $546K | $533K | -2.4% |
| Tract 000028 | $546K | $490K | -10.2% |
| Tract 000167 | $541K | $540K | -0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 015408 | $173K | $281K | +61.8% |
| Tract 016164 | $180K | $284K | +57.8% |
| Tract 012485 | $176K | $274K | +55.5% |
| Tract 013523 | $302K | $469K | +55.0% |
| Tract 015246 | $194K | $301K | +54.8% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources