County 25895, MA · Census Tract 25895001804 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$646K
Downside (P10)
$295K
-54% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$615K
-5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.06M
+65% by 2030
Base case: -5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -54% to +65%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25895 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $646K | $628K | $589K | $582K | $615K |
| YoY Change | -2.8% | -6.1% | -1.3% | +5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $369K | $334K | $276K | $295K | |
| Upside (P90) | $863K | $923K | $996K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$480K to $827K
53.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$295K to $1.06M
124.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001668 | $646K | $612K | -5.3% |
| Tract 001888 | $647K | $615K | -5.0% |
| Tract 001684 | $648K | $600K | -7.3% |
| Tract 001765 | $642K | $584K | -9.0% |
| Tract 110562 | $651K | $595K | -8.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 111008 | $697K | $905K | +29.9% |
| Tract 110164 | $705K | $888K | +26.0% |
| Tract 129126 | $723K | $910K | +25.9% |
| Tract 129168 | $725K | $909K | +25.3% |
| Tract 110902 | $702K | $877K | +25.1% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources