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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 25560, MA · Census Tract 25560000567 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$3.64M
Downside (P10)
$1.24M
-66% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.11M
-42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.82M
-23% by 2030
Base case: -42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -66% to -23%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.6M | $3.3M | $2.8M | $2.3M | $2.1M |
| YoY Change | -9.8% | -15.8% | -18.1% | -6.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.0M | $1.7M | $1.3M | $1.2M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.0M | $3.5M | $3.0M | $2.8M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$2.01M to $4.01M
60.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.24M to $2.82M
74.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000567 | $3.64M | $2.11M | -42.1% | |
| Tract 001265 | $3.81M | $2.55M | -33.0% | |
| Tract 001362 | $3.70M | $2.30M | -37.8% | |
| Tract 000389 | $3.47M | $2.01M | -42.1% | |
| Tract 001346 | $3.77M | $2.16M | -42.7% | |
| Tract 000868 | $3.68M | $2.00M | -45.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000567 | $3.64M | $2.11M | -42.1% | |
| Tract 000981 | $4.63M | $3.15M | -32.0% | |
| Tract 001265 | $3.81M | $2.55M | -33.0% | |
| Tract 000949 | $3.86M | $2.48M | -35.6% | |
| Tract 001362 | $3.70M | $2.30M | -37.8% | |
| Tract 001029 | $3.87M | $2.40M | -38.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000567 | $3.64M | $2.11M | $1.58M | |
| Tract 000745 | $4.69M | $2.50M | $1.56M | |
| Tract 000949 | $3.86M | $2.48M | $1.50M | |
| Tract 000868 | $3.68M | $2.00M | $1.49M | |
| Tract 001346 | $3.77M | $2.16M | $1.48M | |
| Tract 001265 | $3.81M | $2.55M | $1.42M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources