County 25970, MA · Census Tract 25970020661 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$383K
Downside (P10)
$307K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$523K
+37% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.23M
+222% by 2030
Base case: +37% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +222%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25970 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $383K | $473K | $480K | $495K | $523K |
| YoY Change | +23.7% | +1.4% | +3.2% | +5.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $339K | $302K | $295K | $307K | |
| Upside (P90) | $740K | $923K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$302K to $609K
80.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$307K to $1.23M
176.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 020726 | $383K | $575K | +50.0% |
| Tract 020182 | $384K | $504K | +31.3% |
| Tract 020506 | $384K | $464K | +20.6% |
| Tract 020409 | $392K | $498K | +27.3% |
| Tract 020687 | $373K | $588K | +57.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 020687 | $373K | $588K | +57.4% |
| Tract 020726 | $383K | $575K | +50.0% |
| Tract 020302 | $350K | $497K | +42.1% |
| Tract 020548 | $362K | $500K | +38.2% |
| Tract 020629 | $363K | $477K | +31.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 020629 | $363K | $477K | $410K |
| Tract 020409 | $392K | $498K | $469K |
| Tract 020302 | $350K | $497K | $494K |
| Tract 020506 | $384K | $464K | $499K |
| Tract 020467 | $350K | $459K | $503K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources