What is the home price forecast for Parcel 25009208401 in Saugus?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $642,425 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 25009208401 in Saugus?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $642,425 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.2%.

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Parcel 25009208401 (Saugus) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 25009208401, Saugus Home Price Forecast

Essex, MA · ZIP 01906 · Census Tract 25009208401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$642K

Downside (P10)

$605K

-6% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$695K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.01M

+57% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$459K	$521K	$596K	$627K	$633K	$642K	$660K	$689K	$695K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$183,425	-$121,025	-$46,025	-$15,725	-$9,425		+$17,574	+$46,425	+$52,915
Growth % vs 2026	-28.6%	-18.8%	-7.2%	-2.4%	-1.5%		+2.7%	+7.2%	+8.2%
Downside (P10)							$604K	$609K	$605K
Upside (P90)							$763K	$870K	$1.0M

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$604K to $763K

24.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$605K to $1.0M

58.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.2% · Spread: 58%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 25009208401, Saugus on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).