What is the home price forecast for Parcel 25015820205 in Belchertown area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $378,842 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 25015820205 in Belchertown area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $378,842 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.7%.

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Parcel 25015820205 (Belchertown area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 25015820205, Belchertown area Home Price Forecast

Hampshire, MA · ZIP 01007 · Census Tract 25015820205 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$379K

Downside (P10)

$307K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$401K

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$532K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$294K	$306K	$352K	$359K	$377K	$379K	$389K	$396K	$401K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$84,742	-$73,242	-$26,642	-$19,442	-$2,342		+$9,820	+$17,399	+$21,731
Growth % vs 2026	-22.4%	-19.3%	-7.0%	-5.1%	-0.6%		+2.6%	+4.6%	+5.7%
Downside (P10)							$334K	$306K	$307K
Upside (P90)							$487K	$517K	$532K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$334K to $487K

39.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$307K to $532K

56.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.7% · Spread: 56%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 25015820205, Belchertown area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).