What is the home price forecast for Parcel 24003731206 in Lake Shore?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $534,664 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 24003731206 in Lake Shore?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $534,664 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.0%.

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Parcel 24003731206 (Lake Shore) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 24003731206, Lake Shore Home Price Forecast

Anne Arundel, MD · ZIP 21122 · Census Tract 24003731206 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$535K

Downside (P10)

$475K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$604K

+13% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$690K

+29% by 2030

Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +29%. The model forecasts this with 81% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$487K	$461K	$493K	$502K	$516K	$535K	$545K	$564K	$604K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$47,264	-$73,364	-$41,264	-$32,764	-$18,564		+$10,825	+$29,625	+$69,339
Growth % vs 2026	-8.8%	-13.7%	-7.7%	-6.1%	-3.5%		+2.0%	+5.5%	+13.0%
Downside (P10)							$487K	$500K	$475K
Upside (P90)							$674K	$689K	$690K

Forecast Confidence

81%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$487K to $674K

34.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$475K to $690K

35.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +13.0% · Spread: 35%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 24003731206, Lake Shore on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).