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Baltimore, MD · ZIP 21218 · Census Tract 24510120202 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$326K
Downside (P10)
$292K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$365K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$460K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $311K | $295K | $281K | $272K | $261K | $251K | $198K | $279K | $294K | $315K | $326K | $332K | $345K | $365K |
| YoY Change | -5.2% | -4.8% | -3.3% | -3.8% | -3.9% | -21.3% | +40.9% | +5.6% | +7.2% | +3.4% | +1.8% | +3.9% | +5.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $302K | $294K | $292K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $390K | $423K | $460K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$302K to $390K
26.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$292K to $460K
46.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21218 · (Tract 1202.2) | $326K | $365K | +11.9% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 060300) | $326K | $365K | +12.0% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 130100) | $325K | $353K | +8.6% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 280403) | $327K | $369K | +12.9% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 270301) | $329K | $357K | +8.6% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 130700) | $322K | $371K | +15.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21218 · (Tract 1202.2) | $326K | $365K | +11.9% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 280301) | $389K | $459K | +17.9% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 160600) | $93K | $109K | +17.2% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 230100) | $463K | $542K | +17.0% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 110200) | $313K | $365K | +16.8% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 180300) | $219K | $256K | +16.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21218 · (Tract 1202.2) | $326K | $365K | $168K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 160400) | $64K | $69K | $33K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 200400) | $58K | $65K | $36K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 080301) | $84K | $93K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.