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Baltimore, MD · ZIP 21215 · Census Tract 24510271600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$173K
Downside (P10)
$149K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$176K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$243K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $105K | $103K | $99K | $95K | $78K | $80K | $107K | $150K | $167K | $165K | $173K | $174K | $178K | $176K | $171K |
| YoY Change | -1.5% | -3.8% | -4.8% | -17.6% | +2.3% | +34.8% | +40.0% | +11.0% | -1.1% | +4.6% | +0.5% | +2.6% | -1.2% | -2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $150K | $146K | $149K | $150K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $208K | $232K | $243K | $194K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$150K to $208K
33.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$150K to $194K
25.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21215 · (Tract 2716) | $168K | $176K | +4.9% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 170300) | $174K | $191K | +9.9% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 270805) | $178K | $195K | +9.5% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 260203) | $169K | $185K | +9.4% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 271002) | $168K | $173K | +3.0% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 150702) | $172K | $174K | +1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21215 · (Tract 2716) | $168K | $176K | +4.9% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 280301) | $389K | $459K | +17.9% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 160600) | $93K | $109K | +17.2% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 230100) | $463K | $542K | +17.0% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 110200) | $313K | $365K | +16.8% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 180300) | $219K | $256K | +16.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21215 · (Tract 2716) | $168K | $176K | $94K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 080301) | $84K | $93K | $45K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 200400) | $58K | $65K | $36K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 160400) | $64K | $69K | $33K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.