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Calvert, MD · ZIP 20678 · Census Tract 24009860703 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$458K
Downside (P10)
$371K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$471K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$628K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $320K | $328K | $340K | $355K | $356K | $352K | $351K | $397K | $415K | $454K | $458K | $462K | $480K | $471K |
| YoY Change | +2.6% | +3.8% | +4.4% | +0.3% | -1.3% | -0.1% | +13.0% | +4.6% | +9.4% | +0.7% | +0.8% | +3.9% | -1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $393K | $382K | $371K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $529K | $550K | $628K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$393K to $529K
29.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$371K to $628K
54.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Prince Frederick · Prince Frederick · (Tract 8607.3) | $458K | $471K | +2.9% | |
| 2, Prince Frederick (Tract 860701) | $489K | $569K | +16.4% | |
| 1, Solomons Island area | $486K | $515K | +6.0% | |
| 3, Sunderland | $449K | $469K | +4.4% | |
| 1, Solomons Island | $455K | $468K | +2.9% | |
| 2, Prince Frederick (Tract 860702) | $452K | $463K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Prince Frederick · Prince Frederick · (Tract 8607.3) | $458K | $471K | +2.9% | |
| 2, Prince Frederick | $489K | $569K | +16.4% | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 860901) | $414K | $458K | +10.9% | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 860902) | $381K | $422K | +10.9% | |
| 3, Sunderland | $411K | $455K | +10.7% | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 861004) | $293K | $320K | +9.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Prince Frederick · Prince Frederick · (Tract 8607.3) | $458K | $471K | $257K | |
| 3, Sunderland (Tract 860402) | $449K | $469K | $215K | |
| 3, Sunderland (Tract 860403) | $411K | $455K | $203K | |
| 3, Sunderland (Tract 860404) | $408K | $417K | $199K | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 861004) | $293K | $320K | $169K | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 861003) | $335K | $359K | $161K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.