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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 24000, MD · Census Tract 24000201429 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$390K
Downside (P10)
$344K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$600K
+54% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.10M
+182% by 2030
Base case: +54% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +182%. The model forecasts this with 31% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $390K | $463K | $494K | $562K | $600K |
| YoY Change | +18.9% | +6.5% | +13.8% | +6.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $346K | $354K | $341K | $344K | |
| Upside (P90) | $678K | $786K | $922K | $1.1M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$346K to $678K
71.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$344K to $1.10M
125.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 201429 | $390K | $600K | +53.9% | |
| Tract 201461 | $384K | $559K | +45.5% | |
| Tract 300320 | $388K | $537K | +38.6% | |
| Tract 300100 | $384K | $472K | +23.0% | |
| Tract 300061 | $388K | $474K | +22.2% | |
| Tract 300029 | $382K | $447K | +17.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 201429 | $390K | $600K | +53.9% | |
| Tract 201267 | $372K | $566K | +51.9% | |
| Tract 200747 | $377K | $571K | +51.5% | |
| Tract 201322 | $370K | $557K | +50.7% | |
| Tract 201102 | $369K | $549K | +48.6% | |
| Tract 201584 | $374K | $549K | +47.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 201429 | $390K | $600K | $754K | |
| Tract 300689 | $357K | $442K | $442K | |
| Tract 300265 | $372K | $522K | $411K | |
| Tract 300281 | $381K | $484K | $404K | |
| Tract 300061 | $388K | $474K | $392K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources