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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 24345, MD · Census Tract 24345005801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$667K
Downside (P10)
$419K
-37% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$778K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.39M
+108% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -37% to +108%. The model forecasts this with 32% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $667K | $729K | $713K | $720K | $778K |
| YoY Change | +9.2% | -2.2% | +1.0% | +8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $539K | $421K | $402K | $419K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$539K to $1.05M
69.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$419K to $1.39M
124.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005801 | $667K | $778K | +16.5% | |
| Tract 008905 | $666K | $746K | +12.1% | |
| Tract 004200 | $697K | $763K | +9.5% | |
| Tract 002956 | $682K | $742K | +8.9% | |
| Tract 003450 | $699K | $755K | +8.0% | |
| Tract 009205 | $675K | $684K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005801 | $667K | $778K | +16.5% | |
| Tract 004608 | $712K | $995K | +39.6% | |
| Tract 006457 | $624K | $798K | +27.9% | |
| Tract 009056 | $635K | $782K | +23.0% | |
| Tract 009700 | $631K | $758K | +20.1% | |
| Tract 003007 | $701K | $832K | +18.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005801 | $667K | $778K | $968K | |
| Tract 002956 | $682K | $742K | $864K | |
| Tract 008905 | $666K | $746K | $859K | |
| Tract 008701 | $704K | $755K | $858K | |
| Tract 006509 | $631K | $731K | $850K | |
| Tract 004608 | $712K | $995K | $727K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources